Even though Atlanta trails this best-of-seven series, 3-2, its only “no-show” came in Game 4, a
101-79 debacle in Boston. Take that out of the equation, and the last eight meetings between these teams have been decided by an average of 4.8 points—and the Hawks won half of those contests outright. Staying on the topic of this rivalry, the road team has covered the number in three of the last four meetings (and six of the last eight). Additionally, the underdog is 7-2 against the spread in the last nine matchups. Let’s not forget that the Hawks have youth on their side, and while the Celtics have benefitted from days off throughout this series, this is still their fourth game since Friday. (Translation: Boston’s AARP contingent will require an extra shot of WD-40 on those joints before tipoff.)
Finally, the Hawks—who have covered the spread in six of their last seven road games—have become one of those predictably unpredictable teams. They show up and play hard when you least expect it, and fold like a gutless gambler when all signs point to a strong effort. Well, most expect the “bad” Hawks to show up tonight, which means it’s a lock the opposite will happen. (Note that Atlanta has lost by seven points or more just three times in its last 19 contests.)
Rating: ★ ★ ★ ☆
Wednesday’s Result: Twins (+125) vs. Angels (Loss)
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