You often hear about the zig-zag theory in the NBA playoffs, but it’s almost always in reference to “side” wagers. Today, we employ the theory as it relates to the total in Game 2 of the Western Conference finals. In Sunday’s series opener, the Spurs edged the Thunder 101-98, with the game falling just short of the 204-point total. But look inside the boxscore, and here’s what you’ll find: a 42-point first quarter, a 51-point second quarter, a 40-point third quarter and a 64-point fourth quarter. Could it be that the teams were sluggish to start the game and returning from a long halftime because both hadn’t played in so long? (Oklahoma City had been idle for six days, San Antonio for a full week). Could it be that the scoring outbursts in the second and fourth quarters were the result of both squads getting into the rhythm of the contest? And could it be that with just one day off prior to tonight’s Game 2 that we won’t see the lulls we saw Sunday?
Two things to consider here: 1) The oddsmakers are giving us a discount on the total (which is down a good 2½ points from Game 1); and 2) From Feb. 23-March 16, these teams met four times (twice in San Antonio, twice in OKC), and the final scores were 109-105, 108-96, 107-96 and 114-105. All four of those games went “over” their respective totals, and all four would’ve cleared tonight’s number.
Rating: ★ ★ ★ ☆
Friday’s Result: Brewers +110 at Diamondbacks (Win)
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