Just missed with the Devils last night. (Hey, how am I supposed to handicap a five-minute major penalty that turns into three power-play goals?) Back on the horse tonight, as the NBA Finals tip off in Oklahoma City. Plenty of reasons to love the Thunder in Game 1, starting with the fact they just took four straight games from a talented opponent that had won its previous 20 in a row. Not only did Oklahoma City dig out of that 0-2 series hole against the Spurs with those four victories, but it covered in each contest, improving to 7-1 against the spread in its last eight games (5-0 ATS as a favorite).
Since Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook helped their franchise turn the corner starting in
the 2009-10 season, the Thunder are 4-2 SU and ATS against the Heat (including a 103-87 rout in Miami’s lone visit to OKC in the regular season). And while the Thunder are perfect at home this postseason (8-0), the Heat are a rather ordinary 4-4 SU and ATS on the highway (against foes not nearly as good as Oklahoma City). Worried about laying the five points? Don’t be, because the
winner has covered the spread in seven of the Thunder’s last eight games, 23 of Miami’s last 24 games dating to the regular season and 10 of the last 11 meetings in this rivalry (including the last seven in a row).
Rating: ★ ★ ★ ☆
Monday’s Result: Devils +150 vs. Kings (Loss)