The reasons to support the Heat in Game 2 of the NBA Finals: They had a seven-point halftime lead in Game 1; they haven’t lost consecutive games by more than five points in these playoffs; and they have the old betting “zig-zag” theory working in their favor.
The reasons to back the Thunder tonight: They rallied from that seven-point halftime deficit
in Game 1 and won by 11 (holding Miami to just 40 second-half points); they’ve won and covered five straight games, and they’re 8-1 ATS in their last nine, including six straight covers as a favorite (while the Heat have lost four of six overall and five of seven against the number); they’re 9-0 at home this season (while the Heat have lost three of four on the road); and since the start of the 2009-10 season, they’re 5-2 SU and ATS against Miami (including 16- and 11-point wins in Oklahoma City this season.
Let me put it this way: Miami lost double digits in Game 1 despite the fact LeBron James scored 30 points and the relic Shane Battier chipped in 17 (including 4-of-6 shooting from three-point range), while Oklahoma City’s third-best player (James Harden) got outscored 6-5 by a teammate (Derek Fisher) who qualifies for senior-citizen discounts at the local Denny’s.
Rating: ★ ★ ★ ☆
Tuesday’s Result: Red Sox (PK) at Marlins (Win)