A couple of weeks ago, I rolled the dice with White Sox pitcher Gavin Floyd against the Astros,
explaining away his struggles as nothing more than a little slump, certain he’d right himself against hapless Houston. What happened? Floyd gave up four runs in six innings of an 8-3 loss. He followed that with a five-run, eight-hit, 4 2/3-inning stint at St. Louis on Thursday, losing 5-3. Which means over his last six starts dating to May 16, Mr. Floyd has posted the following stat line: 35 runs (all earned) and 49 hits (including 11 home runs) allowed in 30 1/3 innings, good for a 10.38 ERA. And by the way, four of those six starts were at home.
Now is when you counter with “Yeah, but tonight he’s facing the Cubs!” To which I reply: Right,
the same Cubs who are a perfect 4-0 all-time against Floyd (outscoring the Sox 16-9) and the same Cubs who have taken the first two games of this series (12-3 on Monday, 2-1 last night). Yeah, I realize betting on the Cubs to sweep a three-game series — something they’ve done once all year, and against the Padres at that — is about as risky as betting on Kim Kardashian to win a 6th-grade spelling bee. But the White Sox aren’t exactly on fire (4-10 in their last 14 games, dropping six of their last seven). And the road team has won seven of the last eight in this rivalry (including all five matchups this season).
Rating:★ ★ ☆ ☆
Tuesday’s Result: Thunder +3 1/2 vs. Heat (Loss)