Daily Bet: White Sox-Red Sox OVER 10 1/2

Note to self: Next time you suffer a couple of bad beats, take a deep breath and try to remember the good fortune of the last 48 hours. One day after the Nationals rallied from ninth- and 10th-inning deficits to steal a 5-4 win over the Mets, the Royals last night blew leads of 3-1 and 7-3 before getting a walk-off homer in the ninth to escape with an 8-7 victory over Seattle. With that, I’m now 11-2 with my last 13 selections.

Slim pickings tonight because of a slew of matinees on the docket, but after consecutive
high-scoring affairs at Fenway (7-5 on Tuesday; 10-1 on Wednesday), I’m looking for a third straight slugfest between the Sox and Sox. For starters, Chicago rookie Jose Quintana is making his first career start at Fenway. In his last two road games (at Yankee Stadium on June 29 and at Kansas City on Friday), Quintana allowed a total of 11 runs, 11 hits and six walks in 11 innings. Final scores of those two games: 14-7 and 9-8 (and the White Sox won both).

Meanwhile, Boston’s Clay Buchholz may be 8-3, but he’s pitched like he’s 3-8, posting a 5.54 ERA while allowing nearly 1 1/2 baserunners per inning. And in eight starts at home, Buchholz has allowed 58 hits (including 11 home runs) and 20 walks in 51 2/3 innings. Average final score in those eight
contests: 7-5. Two finalthings to consider: The Red Sox are batting .337 against left-handed pitching the last 10 games, while Buchholz has a 6.53 ERA in four career starts against the White Sox (giving up five HRs in 20 2/3 innings).

Rating: ★ ★ ☆ ☆

Wednesday’s Result: Royals (-125) vs. Mariners (Win)

Record: 27-20