Daily Bet: Diamondbacks (+125) vs. Dodgers

Nothing quite like betting a game over the total and having one team do all the scoring necessary to get you paid. Thank you very much to the Baltimore Ravens—and to the Bengals, whose sloppy play on offense and shoddy play on defense contributed to the easy winner. While we’re on the subject of easy winners, can somebody explain to me how the Dodgers (1-4 last five games; 7-12 last 19) can be laying this kind of price on the road?

Is it because they’ve owned Arizona? Hardly. The DBacks are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings (holding Los Angeles to a total of 21 runs).

Is it because Arizona starter Ian Kennedy has terrible career numbers against Los Angeles? Don’t think so. Since the start of the 2011 season, Kennedy has faced the Dodgers six times and given up just 12 earned runs in 38 2/3 innings (2.82 ERA). The DBacks’ record: 5-1 (2-0 at home). The DBacks’ record in Kennedy’s last 27 starts against NL West rivals: 22-5.

Is it because Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw has been money lately? Nope. Even though the reigning NL Cy Young winner has allowed just seven runs in his last four starts covering 29 innings (2.17 ERA), the Dodgers went just 1-3 (and all four games were at home).

Is it because Kershaw has owned Arizona? Doubt it. He beat the D-Backs 3-1 back in May, but lost his last two starts against them (a 2-0 home loss to Kennedy two weeks ago, and a 5-3 defeat in Arizona on July 6, allowing all five runs in 5 1/3 innings). In fact, over the last 13 months, Kershaw has seen Arizona five times and the Dodgers are 2-3, including 0-2 at Chase Field, where Kershaw yielded nine runs in 11 2/3 innings.

But at least Kershaw’s healthy, right? Not exactly. He was scratched from Sunday’s scheduled start in San Francisco with a bad hip. Oh, and speaking of the injury report, Matt Kemp—only the Dodgers’ most important everyday player—has missed the last couple of games with an bum shoulder (and when he’s been in the lineup, he hasn’t hit a lick).

Yeah, this line makes sense.

Rating: ★ ★ ★ ★

Monay’s Result: Bengals-Ravens OVER 41½ (Win)


Record: 43-36