Daily Bet: Braves (-135) vs. Marlins

Let’s see, A’s rookie A.J. Griffin gives up a total of five runs in six starts from July 25-Sept. 12, a stretch of 35 innings. So with that information in hand—and knowing that Tigers right-hander Max Scherzer had been virtually unhittable for five weeks—I decided to play the under in last night’s Oakland-Detroit game. What happens? Scherzer leaves the game after two innings with shoulder discomfort, Griffin gives up five runs in 4 2/3 innings—the same number of runs he had allowed in his previous 35 innings—and the Tigers bomb the A’s 12-5, with the game flying over the total by the sixth inning. That’s the bad news. The good news? I kept my streak alive of not winning an over/under baseball selection.

Back to the more traditional side wager today, as I’m all-in with the Braves and their new ace, Kris Medlen. Medlen, who had Tommy John surgery two years ago, was brought along slowly by Atlanta this season, pitching out of the bullpen for the first four months. Needless to say, Atlanta’s GM will be collecting the Brilliant Move of the Year award this year, as all Medlen has done since joining the rotation on July 31 is go 7-0 with a 0.86 ERA, allowing just six earned runs in 62 2/3
innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio in those nine starts: 66-8. Atlanta’s record in these nine games: 9-0.

Although the Braves’ four-game winning streak ended with last night’s 4-3 loss in Miami, they’re still on an 11-5 run. They’ve also taken 10 of 13 from Miami, which has won consecutive games just twice since Aug. 29.

Rating: ★ ★ ★ ☆

Monday’s Result: A’s-Tigers UNDER 7½ (Loss)

Record: 46-39