Daily Bet: BYU +6½ at Boise State

I’m not sure what Kris Medlen’s middle name is, but I know what it should be: “Money.” With all due respect to Floyd “Money” Mayweather, who steps foot in the ring every nine months (when he’s not in the clink, that is), “Money” Medlen is lining the pockets of his supporters every fifth day. Last night, I snapped a four-game slide by backing the Braves’ right-hander, and he dominated the Marlins in a 3-0 victory, improving to 9-1 this year, including 9-0 as a starter. That’s not the most startling stat; this is: In Medlen’s last 21 starts, Atlanta is 21-0.

You better believe I’m looking forward to Tuesday, when Medlen is next scheduled to take the mound. In the meantime, let’s start the football weekend with a strong underdog play on BYU. I know I missed on the Cougars on Saturday—they lost 24-21 at Utah as a 3½-point favorite, costing me one of my big Going for Broke selections—but I’m not ready to write them off because they fell to their bitter rivals on the road. Fact is, BYU is still 11-2 straight-up in its last 13 games and 8-1 against the spread in its last nine against Division I-A teams.

Just as I’m not about to bail on BYU, I’m not about to jump on Boise State’s bandwagon just because the Broncos hammered Miami (Ohio) 39-12 on Saturday (they led that game by just six points early in the third quarter). I’m more interested in focusing on Boise’s 17-13 loss to Michigan State in the season opener, when the Broncos got outgained 461-206. For context purposes, allow me to mention that last week, Michigan State got outgained 300-237 in a 20-3 home loss to Notre Dame. The point: Boise, with a first-year quarterback among several newcomers on offense, is going to struggle against solid defenses, and BYU’s D is very good, having held 11 of its last 13 opponents to 24 points or fewer.

If you believe in trends, BYU has covered in seven straight games as an underdog and four of its last five on the road, while the Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last eight at home.

Rating: ★ ★ ★ ☆

Wednesday’s Result: Braves -135 at Marlins (Win)


Record: 47-39



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