Daily Bet: Braves (-1 1/2 runs, -130) vs. Marlins

Not sure what all the uproar is about; sure looked to me like a clean catch by Golden Tate to end Monday night’s game in Seattle. OK, OK, so much like Jim Carrey’s entire career, we stole money last night. Hey, it’s not like I haven’t been on the wrong end of some bad beats in my life, so don’t look for me to return the cash—especially since the miracle win pushed my record 11 games over .500 for the first time.

Back to the diamond Tuesday for what should be a much easier—and much less controversial—winner, as we invest in Braves right-hander Kris Medlen for the second time in five days. You may recall that we rode Medlen on Wednesday in Miami, and all the kid did was yield four hits over eight shutout innings in a 3-0 victory. That means in 10 starts since moving from the bullpen to the starting rotation on July 31, Medlen has given up a total of seven runs (six earned) in 70 2/3 innings (0.76 ERA) with 66 strikeouts vs. just nine walks. But those stats pale in comparison to these: Atlanta won all 10 games and is 21-0 in Medlen’s last 21 starts going back to 2009.

Now, because this line is through the roof (-270 to -280), we’ve got to lay the 1 1/2 runs (-130) on the run line, meaning the Braves have to win by at least two runs for us to cash. No big deal there, seeing that during the 21-0 run behind Medlen, Atlanta has 17 victories by more than one run. That includes three wins over the Marlins by scores of 3-0, 7-1 and 10-5.

The Braves, who clinch a playoff berth with a victory tonight, are 7-2 in their last nine overall and 7-2 intheir last nine against Florida (the last six wins by multiple runs). Meanwhile, Florida has lost four in a row and 20 of 29, and during this slump the Fish are 3-11 on the road. Even better: Miami’s biggest bat (Giancarlo Stanton) probably won’t be in the lineup.

Rating: ★ ★ ★ ★

Monday’s Result: Seahawks (+3) vs. Packers (Win)

Record: 50-39



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