Daily Bet: UNR-Air Force OVER 66 1/2

Dear Bud Selig,

Your decision to schedule an off day for the World Series today—much like 99.5 percent of the
decisions you’ve made as Major League Baseball’s commissioner—really pisses me off. Thanks for making me wait an extra 24 hours to pad my bankroll with another easy underdog winner on the Giants. (An aside: The Tigers, with their season basically on the line, are giving the ball to Anibal Sanchez in Game 3 on Saturday? Seriously? Exactly how much money does Jim Leyland have on San Francisco in this series?)

Oh well, we’ll just have to trade one sure thing for another tonight. Why should you not hesitate to load up on the over in this Air Force-Reno contest, despite a total that’s higher than a party co-hosted by Snoop Dogg and Willie Nelson? For starters, take a look at UNR’s final scores this year: 31-24, 32-31, 45-34, 69-24, 34-21, 35-28, 42-37 and 39-38. That’s right: Not a single game under 55 points; six that have topped 60 points; and the last three in a row that have featured 63, 79 and 77 points.

Meanwhile, Air Force was involved in four straight shootouts to begin the year (49-21, 31-25,
38-35, 42-21), but its three games since have been snoozers by comparison (28-21, 28-27, 28-23). Of course, the Falcons’ last three opponents (Navy, Wyoming and New Mexico) aren’t very explosive. Not so tonight: UNR is averaging 40.6 points and 541 yards per game, including 272 rushing ypg (seventh best in the nation). Air Force, comparatively, is putting up 32.6 points and 464.4 yards per game, including 352.7 rushing ypg (second best in the nation).

Flip to the other side of the ball, and you’ll see that the Falcons are getting steamrolled for 27 ppg and 222 rushing ypg (including a whopping 5.4 per carry), while the Wolf Pack are yielding 30 ppg and 156 rushing ypg (4.3 per carry).

Bottom line: If you want to have some Friday fun tonight, fill up the fridge, pull up a couch
and drink every time there’s a scoring play. If want to see what alcohol poisoning feels like, drink every time there’s a first down.

Rating:&$9733; &$9733; &$9733; &$9734;

Thursday’s Result: Giants (+105) vs. Tigers (W)

Pending Result: Giants (+140) vs. Cardinals to win World Series

Record: 59-49-1