Daily Bet: Eagles +3 (-120) at Saints

The Eagles went winless through October. They have one victory since Sept. 16. They’ve covered
exactly one point spread in seven games (a 16-14 loss in Pittsburgh as a 4-point underdog). Their coach is on the hot seat. Their quarterback is on an even hotter seat. And the cherry on top: They screwed me big-time last week, as I went virtually all-in with my Going for Broke bankroll, backing Philadelphia as a three-point home favorite against Atlanta (the Eagles got destroyed 30-17).

Despite all these negatives, I’m taking Philly tonight in New Orleans. And that right there should tell you what I think of the 2012 Saints. A quick review of their season to date: GM, head coach, interim coach, all suspended in the wake of the bounty scandal; started out 0-4, including embarrassing losses to the Panthers and Chiefs (that’s right: the Saints lost to the Chiefs—at home); posted two shaky come-from-behind wins over mediocre San Diego and Tampa Bay, followed last Sunday by a 38-14 loss in Denver, in which New Orleans got outgained 530-252 and didn’t score its second touchdown until right before the two-minute warning; fielding a defense that just might be the worst in NFL history.

Now, I know with the election tomorrow, we’re at the height of hyperbole season, but trust me when I tell you nothing about that latter statement is hyperbolic. In seven games, the Saints’ “defense” has allowed 3,333 total yards. No team NFL history has given up more through seven games. Put it this way: New Orleans is yielding 474.7 yards per game — or 57 yards per game more than any other team in the league. And yes, those yards are translating into points — the Saints are getting torched for 31 ppg.

By comparison, despite some atrocious play in their last five quarters (when they’ve allowed 50 points to Detroit and Atlanta), Philadelphia’s defense is still only allowing 22.1 points and 339.6 yards per game, including just 229 passing ypg (the Saints surrender 304.6 passing ypg).

In other words, if Andy Reid and Mike Vick don’t take advantage of this sorry defense tonight, getting fired will be the least of their worries, if you get my drift.

Rating: ★ ★ ★ ☆

Friday’s Result: Clippers -1 at Lakers (W)

Record: 64-51-1



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