A review of my last five selections:
• UCLA-Stanford UNDER 47 points. Result: Stanford wins 27-24 (thanks in part to a first-half defensive touchdown).
• Giants -3 vs. Redskins. Result: Washington wins 17-16 (getting the winning TD late in the fourth quarter).
• UNLV -13½ at Portland. Result: UNLV wins 68-60.
• New Mexico -9½ vs. USC. Result: New Mexico wins 75-67 (USC scores the final points with 13 seconds left for the backdoor cover).
• Raiders +10 vs. Broncos. Result: Denver wins 26-13 (the Raiders score a TD with 5½ minutes remaining and never see the ball again as the Broncos run out the clock).
By my math, that’s five point-spread losses in a row by a combined 22 points. The most impressive part of the losing streak? It’s spanned three sports (college football, college basketball and the NFL). Now it’s time to add the NBA to the shit pile.
Not that it matters, but here’s why I like the Warriors tonight: They’ve won and covered four of their last five games and six of their last eight; they’re in a nice scheduling groove, having played every other day since Nov. 29 (last Thursday); their current 6-2 straight-up and against-the-spread run includes a 102-93 rout of Brooklyn back on Nov. 21, as a two-point home favorite (improving to 7-3 in the last 10 meetings); and the Nets, who followed up the Warriors loss with five straight wins and covers, have dropped their last two to the Heat (102-89) and Thunder (117-111).
A quick check of the stats will tell you that the Warriors average more points per game than
Brooklyn, shoot better from the field, shoot better from the free-throw line, have a better rebounding differential and have the superior bench. Additionally, while the Nets are off to a surprising 11-6 start, Golden State ain’t much worse at 11-7. So why are the Warriors catching six points? Beats me, but I’ll take it.
(Sorry, Warriors fans.)
Rating: ★ ★ ☆ ☆
Thursday’s Result: Raiders +10 vs. Broncos (loss)