Daily Bet: Spurs-Jazz OVER 209

Of the 13 games on tonight’s NBA card, none have a higher total than Spurs-Jazz. In other words, this is about as “square” a play as you can get—and we all know how those usually turn out. Still, I can’t help myself, simply because both these teams are scoring more than Peter North on a porn set. Here are San Antonio’s point totals in its last 11 games, starting with Monday at Houston: 134, 132, 114, 110, 99, 100, 110, 118, 111, 104 and 112. Not only did the Spurs win 10 of those contests—the only loss being the controversial game in Miami when coach Gregg Popovich sent four of his top five scorers home—and not only did they go 9-2 against the spread, but nine of the 11 topped the total.

Meanwhile, Utah has had just one offensive clunker in its last five games (87-81 vs. Orlando); the other four were shootouts (117-110, 131-99, 105-104, 124-116, all soaring over the total). The over also cashed in the one previous meeting between these teams this season on Nov. 3, with the Spurs winning 110-100 in San Antonio—marking the 11th time in the last 14 head-to-head clashes that at least one team has scored more than 100 points.

More numbers for you: The league’s shooting average is 44.6 percent from the field, 35.8 percent
from the 3-point line and 75.4 percent from the free-throw line, and both Utah (45.1, 37.4, 76.7) and San Antonio (48.5, 37.6, 79.1) eclipse the average in all three categories. Finally, both teams are very well rested; the Jazz have been off since Sunday (and this is just their second game since Friday) and Spurs last played on Monday (and prior to that they played Saturday).

Add it all up and we’re likely looking at an 88-82 final score.

Rating: ★ ★ ☆ ☆

Tuesday’s Result: Pistons +5.5 vs. Nuggets (loss)

Record: 70-64-1