Daily Bet: Bengals -4.5 at Eagles

Well, that was a fun new way to lose: With the Jazz and Spurs tied at 96 and looking like a lock to go into overtime—which would’ve all but guaranteed a winner on the over — Utah’s Mo Williams sank a long, game-winning 3-pointer at buzzer to give the Jazz a 99-96 win. Hey, when you’re cold, you’re cold. And right now I’m more frigid than a BYU coed on a February night in Provo.

Heading to the NFL tonight and laying the chalk with the road team, for the simple fact that the Bengals are the superior team—in all phases. Sure, Cincinnati is coming off a heartbreaking, last-second 20-19 home loss to the Cowboys, a defeat that snapped a four-game straight-up and against-the-spread winning streak. But the Bengals are still 7-6 on the season, and they’ve won and covered four of their last five road games. OK, so three of those four road victories were at Jacksonville, Kansas City and San Diego. But it’s not like anyone’s confusing the 2012 Eagles (4-9) with the 2012 Patriots. Let’s not forget that prior to Sunday’s miraculous 23-21 win at Tampa Bay—rallying from a 21-10 fourth-quarter deficit and getting the decisive touchdown on the game’s final play—Philadelphia had lost eight straight games, including four straight at home. Hell, Carolina went to Philly three weeks ago and pummeled the Eagles 30-22 on a Monday night.

Cincinnati has one of the NFL’s best (and most underrated) pass rushes, one that figures to expose Eagles QB Nick Foles for the rookie that he is. As for taking the worst of this number—the line has jumped from Bengals -3½ to -4½ and (in some spots) -5—I’m not sweating it, because Cincinnati’s seven victories have been by an average of 12 points. And each was by at least a touchdown.

Rating: ★ ★ ★ ☆

Wednesday’s Result: Spurs-Jazz OVER 209 (loss)

Record: 70-65-1